Thursday, August 7, 2008

postseason scenarios

Here are the latest Western Division Standings top four, with the earlier game between Cotuit and Hyannis factored in.

Cotuit
23-18-2
48
Falmouth
22-20-1
45
Bourne
22-20-1
45
Hyannis
22-20-0
44







Cotuit cannot be caught right now. They are the Western Division champions. Their game tonight with Y-D will not have an impact on that.

That leaves two games of consequence tonight -- Falmouth at Hyannis and Bourne at Wareham. Falmouth, Hyannis and Bourne are chasing one playoff spot.

Here are the scenarios. With Falmouth and Hyannis playing each other, there are essentially two variables for everything:
  • If Falmouth wins and Bourne loses, Falmouth is in with 47 points.
  • If Bourne wins and Falmouth loses, Bourne is in with 47 points.
  • If Falmouth wins and Bourne wins, those teams will finish in a tie at 47 points, and there will be a play-in game tomorrow.
  • If Hyannis wins and Bourne loses, Hyannis is in with 46 points.
So, Falmouth and Bourne are essentially in the same situation. If they win, they'll get a shot, whether it's an automatic berth or a play-in game. On the other hand, Hyannis needs some help. Bourne has to lose for Hyannis to make it.

I think that covers everything. Should be an interesting night.

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