Saturday, May 31, 2008

the college stats project, part 2

If you missed the first part of this project, scroll down to the next post. In this post, I'm going to run through the leaders.

We'll start with offense. I'll put up the top guys for each of the three categories (AVG, HR, OBP), with a little summary below. For the purposes of this, players who have been invited to Team USA are still included. I do have a star by their names.

OFFENSE
Batting Average

PLAYERPOSITION
CAPE TEAMCOLLEGEAVG
Josh Phegley*
C
Wareham
Indiana
.438
Dustin Ackley*
OF
Harwich
North Carolina
.399
Ryan Lavarnway
C
Hyannis
Yale
.398
Grant Green
SS
Chatham
USC
.390
Tim Fedroff
OF
Falmouth
North Carolina
.383
Nate Freiman
1B
Orleans
Duke
.381
James Meador
OF
Brewster
San Diego
.380
Josh Rutledge
INF
Y-D
Alabama
.375
Diego Seastrunk
INF
Falmouth
Rice
.374
Jason Kipnis
OF
Cotuit
Arizona State
.367
Russ Moldenhauer
OF
Wareham
Texas
.366
Kyle Seager*
INF
Chatham
North Carolina
.365
Ryan Jackson*
SS
Hyannis
Miami
.365
Rich Poythress
3B/1B
Orleans
Georgia
.365
Brian Kemp
OF
Harwich
St. John's
.359
Jim Klocke
C
Brewster
SE Missouri
.357
Angelo Songco
OF
Orleans
Loyola Marymount
.356
Chris McClendon
INF
Y-D
Kentucky
.356
Matt Bowman
INF
Orleans
Nevada
.355
Alex Hassan
OF
Orleans
Duke
.353
Gunner Glad
UTIL
Y-D
Eastern Oklahoma
.353
A.J. Pollock
3B/OF
Falmouth
Notre Dame
.352
Casey Frawley
2B
Hyannis
Stetson
.352
Hunter Morris*
INF
Falmouth
Auburn
.351
Ryan Ortiz*
C
Y-D
Oregon State
.351
Jamie Johnson
OF
Bourne
Oklahoma
.350
Corey Overholtzer
OF
Chatham
UNC Greensboro
.350
Cole Figueroa
SS
Orleans
Florida
.350
Connor Powers
INF
Brewster
Mississippi State
.348
Robbie Shields
SS
Cotuit
Florida Southern
.348
Joe Sanders
INF
Harwich
Auburn
.348

We may not get to see the top three on this list. Phegley and Ackley are Team USA invites, while Lavarnway is draft-eligible and may go fairly early. Also notable, nine players on this list played on the Cape last year.

Orleans leads the way on this list with six players, led by Duke junior Nate Freiman, who played for the Cardinals last summer. Y-D and Falmouth each have four, with Brewster, Chatham, Harwich and Hyannis pulling in three each.

Interestingly, a lot of these guys hit for power, as well. Ten of them had double-digit home runs.


Home Runs

PLAYERPOSITION
CAPE TEAMCOLLEGEHR
Gunner Glad
UTIL
Y-D
Eastern Oklahoma
18
Blake Dean
OF
Wareham
LSU
16
Josh Phegley*
C
Wareham
Indiana
15
Angelo Songco
OF
Orleans
Loyola Marymount
15
Derek Dietrich*
SS
Wareham
Georgia Tech
14
Ryan Lavarnway
C
Hyannis
Yale
13
Jason Kipnis
OF
Cotuit
Arizona State
13
Ben Paulsen
1B
Hyannis
Clemson
13
Mike Murphy
3B
Orleans
Maryland
13
Tim Fedroff
OF
Falmouth
North Carolina
12
Rich Poythress
3B/1B
Orleans
Georgia
12
Aaron Miller
OF
Chatham
Baylor
12
Ross Wilson
INF
Bourne
Alabama
12
Nate Freiman
1B
Orleans
Duke
11
Hunter Morris*
INF
Falmouth
Auburn
11
Connor Powers
INF
Brewster
Mississippi State
11
Kyle Roller
INF
Bourne
East Carolina
11
Blake Smith
OF
Brewster
California
11
Richard Jones
C
Bourne
The Citadel
11
Victor Sanchez
INF
Chatham
San Diego
11
Casey Haerther
1B/DH
Chatham
UCLA
10
Brian Fletcher
INF
Falmouth
Auburn
10

Glad's numbers might be a bit inflated because he's a junior college player, but 18 home runs anywhere is still pretty good. Dean's numbers are certainly not inflated, and he has the tools to be the league's premier power hitter this summer.

On-Base Percentage

PLAYERPOSITION
CAPE TEAMCOLLEGEOBP
Ryan Lavarnway
C
Hyannis
Yale
.541
Josh Phegley*
C
Wareham
Indiana
.507
Dustin Ackley*
OF
Harwich
North Carolina
.497
Jason Kipnis
OF
Cotuit
Arizona State
.487
Jim Klocke
C
Brewster
SE Missouri
.469
Curt Casali
C
Hyannis
Vanderbilt
.463
Michael Thomas
C
Falmouth
Southern
.461
Rich Poythress
3B/1B
Orleans
Georgia
.460
Matt Bowman
INF
Orleans
NEvada
.454
Tim Fedroff
OF
Falmouth
North Carolina
.448
Brian Kemp
OF
Harwich
St. John's
.448
Nate Freiman
1B
Orleans
Duke
.447
Tyler Holt
OF
Cotuit
Florida State
.447
Ryan Ortiz*
C
Y-D
Oregon State
.442
Tyson Blaser
C
Bourne
Iowa
.442
Grant Green
SS
Chatham
USC
.438
Tommy Medica*
C
Harwich
Santa Clara
.438
Alex Hassan
OF
Orleans
Duke
.438
Jamie Johnson
OF
Bourne
Oklahoma
.435
Hunter Morris*
INF
Falmouth
Auburn
.433
Angelo Songco
OF
Orleans
Loyola Marymount
.432
Josh Rutledge
INF
Y-D
Alabama
.432
Gunner Glad
UTIL
Y-D
Eastern Oklahoma
.429
Ryan Jackson
SS
Hyannis
Miami
.429
Russ Moldenahuer
OF
Wareham
Texas
.429
Connor Rowe
OF
Wareham
Texas
.429
James Meador
OF
Brewster
San Diego
.427
Steve Daniels
OF
Hyannis
Brown
.427
Kyle Seager
INF
Chatham
North Carolina
.426
Blake Dean
OF
Wareham
LSU
.425
Aaron Miller
OF
Chatham
Baylor
.425
Connor Powers
INF
Brewster
Mississippi State
.425
Casey Frawley
2B
Hyannis
Stetson
.425

I'm struck by the number of catchers on this list. Eight to be exact. Somewhere, Billy Beane is smiling.

If you haven't noticed yet, a lot of the same names keep popping up -- Kipnis, Poythress, Fedorff, Freiman, Green, Songco, Glad, Meador, Dean, Miller. These are the guys poised to do the most damage this summer.

PITCHING
ERA (Starters)
I should mention that roles aren't always clearly defined for some college pitchers. They're being considered starters if more than half their appearances were starts. I'm also using 25 as the number for minimum innings pitched.

PLAYERPOSITION
CAPE TEAMCOLLEGEERA
Stephen Strasburg*
RHP
Y-D
San Diego State
1.57
Andy Oliver*
LHP
Wareham
Oklahoma State
2.20
Justin Marks
LHP
Chatham
Louisville
2.21
Isaac Morales
LHP
Orleans
Cal State L.A.
2.47
Matt Harvey
RHP
Chatham
North Carolina
2.50
Joe Serafin
LHP
Chatham
Vermont
2.51
Alex White
RHP
Chatham
North Carolina
2.86
Ryan Sharpley
RHP
Hyannis
Notre Dame
3.03
Ryan Berry*
RHP
Bourne
Rice
3.10
Jay Jackson
RHP
Hyannis
Furman
3.17
Mike Leake*
RHP
Cotuit
Arizona State
3.18
Nick McCully
RHP
Bourne
Coastal Carolina
3.29
Matt Fairel
LHP
Cotuit
Florida State
3.32
Dan Jennings
LHP
Cotuit
Nebraska
3.39
Kyle Gibson*
RHP
Falmouth
Missouri
3.40
Sean Black
RHP
Harwich
Seton Hall
3.44
Tom Milone
LHP
Chatham
USC
3.51
Matt Bashore
LHP
Wareham
Indiana
3.59
Brad Gemberling
RHP
Orleans
Princeton
3.60
Jerry Sullivan
RHP
Y-D
Oral Roberts
3.61
Matt Ridings
RHP
Hyannis
Western Kentucky
3.63
Nate Garcia
RHP
Cotuit
Santa Clara
3.65
Will Kempf
RHP
Harwich
Baylor
3.69
Ben Tootle
RHP
Falmouth
Jacksonville State
3.87
Bob Revesz
LHP
Bourne
Louisville
3.90
Tommy Toledo
RHP
Falmouth
Florida
3.99

Strasburg is at the top of just about every category, but he is a Team USA invite so we may not see him. Chatham's pitching strength can be seen here, as the A's have four of the top seven. The guy with the most innings pitched in this group is Mike Leake, also a Team USA invite. Jerry Sullivan and Jay Jackson are next on the list. I'll be interested to see what Jackson and some other smaller-school guys like Isaac Morales and Joe Serafin can do.

ERA (Relievers)

PLAYERPOSITION
CAPE TEAMCOLLEGEERA
Matt Packer
LHP
Brewster
Virginia
1.16
Eric Pettis
RHP
Bourne
UC Irvine
1.76
Nate Striz
RHP
Falmouth
North Carolina
2.03
A.J. Griffin*
RHP
Brewster
San Diego
2.03
Colin Bates
RHP
Hyannis
North Carolina
2.17
Kevin Rhoderick*
RHP
Y-D
Oregon State
2.39
Michael Powers
RHP
Hyannis
Michigan
2.51
Drew Storen
RHP
Cotuit
Stanford
2.89
Dean Weaver
RHP
Y-D
Georgia
2.97
Rob Catapano
LHP
Orleans
North Carolina
3.19
Russell Brewer
RHP
Hyannis
Vanderbilt
3.22
Mark Lamm
RHP
Brewster
Vanderbilt
3.23
Rory McKean
RHP
Brewster
Ole Miss
3.28
Pat Johnson
RHP
Harwich
North Carolina
3.29
Matt Thompson
RHP
Orleans
San Diego
3.52
Ryan Allen
RHP
Bourne
Missouri
3.67
Alex McRee
LHP
Hyannis
Georgia
3.75
Sammy Solis
LHP
Chatham
San Diego
3.89

Some of the teams who weren't well-represented on the starters' list, namely Brewster, are well-represented here. The guy with the most saves on this list is Eric Pettis. Several freshmen on here, including Nate Striz, Colin Bates, Kevin Rhoderick, Drew Storen, Russell Brewer, Pat Johnson and Sammy Solis.

STRIKEOUTS

PLAYERPOSITION
CAPE TEAMCOLLEGEK
Stephen Strasburg*
RHP
Y-D
San Diego State
133
Jerry Sullivan
RHP
Y-D
Oral Roberts
104
Tom Milone
LHP
Chatham
USC
98
Andy Oliver*
LHP
Wareham
Oklahoma State
96
Jay Jackson
RHP
Hyannis
Furman
94
Mike Leake*
RHP
Cotuit
Arizona State
94
Kyle Gibson*
RHP
Falmouth
Missouri
94
Mike Minor*
LHP
Wareham
Vanderbilt
94
Matt Ridings
RHP
Hyannis
Western Kentucky
93
Rex Brothers
LHP
Falmouth
Lipscomb
93
Alex White
RHP
Chatham
North Carolina
87
Caleb Coltham
RHP
Brewster
Vanderbilt
87
Matt Fairel
LHP
Cotuit
Florida State
86
Matt Bashore
LHP
Wareham
Indiana
86
Justin Marks
LHP
Chatham
Louisville
85
Kendal Volz*
RHP
Wareham
Baylor
85
Ryan Berry*
RHP
Bourne
Rice
80
Chris Masters
LHP
Y-D
Western Carolina
80
Ben Tootle
RHP
Falmouth
Jacksonville State
79
Andrew Carraway
RHP
Hyannis
Virginia
77
Dan Jennings
LHP
Cotuit
Nebraska
75
Nate Garcia
RHP
Cotuit
Santa Clara
75
David Phelps
RHP
Hyannis
Notre Dame
75
Drew Pomeranz*
LHP
Bourne
Mississippi
74
Matt Harvey
RHP
Chatham
North Carolina
71
Buddy Bauman
LHP
Brewster
Missouri State
71
Andrew Doyle
RHP
Hyannis
Oklahoma
70
Nate Reed
LHP
Bourne
Pittsburgh
70

Look at those top two. Jerry Sullivan should definitely be on the Cape this summer, but if Stephen Strasburg doesn't go to Team USA and ends up in Y-D, you can go ahead and hand the Red Sox the championship. Also, think Team USA likes strikeouts. They've got invites out to eight pitchers on this list.

I didn't make a separate category for K:BB, but the top guys in that category are: Stephen Strasburg (8.31), Andrew Carraway (7.00), Mike Leake (5.88), Tom Milone (4.90), Kyle Gibson (4.70) and Jerry Sullivan (4.52).


2 comments:

Anonymous said...

I love this idea. Are you going to update this again before the beginning of the season??

Will Geoghegan said...

Since college seasons are over except for a few teams still alive, I probably won't update the stats. But if there are changes to rosters, I can add the new players to the stat lists.